WHILE the federal government has changed hands to Labor, South Australia's three regional MPs look likely to remain the same following Saturday's election.
Liberal Tony Pasin in Barker and Centre Alliance's Rebekha Sharkie in Mayo are confirmed victors.
A two candidate preferred vote is ongoing in Grey, but incumbent Liberal Rowan Ramsey is the firm favourite.
It will be the third term of federal representation without change if Mr Ramsey prevails, with Mr Pasin entering his fourth term, Ms Sharkie her third and Mr Ramsey his potential sixth.
A national swing away from both of the major parties was also reflected in SA.
The Liberal first preference vote in SA decreased by 5.37 per cent when compared to 2019, while Labor's dropped 0.85pc.
The Liberal primary vote in SA was still slightly ahead of Labor's at 35.2pc to 34.5pc, but on a two party preferred basis, Labor outstripped the Liberals 56.16pc to 43.84pc, a 5.45pc swing to Labor.
One Nation (increase of 3.9pc) and the Greens (3.1pc) were the alternative parties that had the biggest impact on the first preference swing away from the majors.
On a national level, Flinders University adjunct professor of politics Haydon Manning believes the leadership of the Coalition was a major reason for the election result.
Dr Manning said while some undecided voters may have been unimpressed with Labor leader Anthony Albanese, their contempt of Mr Morrison was stronger.
"I rest more of the weight on why the vote ended up the way it did on the way the Prime Minister (Scott Morrison) alienated a disproportionate number of women voters than in the past," Dr Manning said.
"Women who would have normally voted Liberal, simply couldn't abide Scott Morrison. Among the men who turned against Morrison, you could put it down to how he went during the bushfires, droughts and floods."
While United Australia Party leader Clive Palmer's campaign failed in terms of electing anyone, Dr Manning said his negative ad campaigns about senior Coalition figures also had a bearing on the LNP vote.
Independents in inner urban areas and climate change policy also played a part, though Dr Manning was unsure if the swing to so-called 'teal independents' would be long-term.
Dr Manning said while the former government "had a good story to tell" in regards to getting through Covid, a strong economy and low unemployment, it had struggled to tell it under Mr Morrison.
He said all eyes would be on whether the Coalition stayed united following the election result.
Dr Manning said there were no surprises in regional SA, with incumbents performing strongly across the board.
Incumbent Liberal MP for Grey Rowan Ramsey will retain his seat, with a TCP count showing well ahead of rival Labor candidate Julie Watson.
It will be Mr Ramsay's sixth term in the vast electorate which encompasses much of the state's north, Eyre and Yorke Peninsulas, Iron Triangle and Mid North.
Mr Ramsey received 44.9 per cent of first preference votes ahead of Ms Watson on 21.7pc.
The drop in Ramsey's first preference vote when compared to 2019 (50.7pc) was likely due to the inclusion of the independent candidate Liz Habermann who received 11.4pc of first preferences.
With 28.7pc of the TPC count completed, Mr Ramsey held a 59.7pc to 40.3pc advantage over Ms Watson.
While there were slight swings away from the Liberals in Barker, which covers the South East, Murraylands, Riverland and most of the Barossa, incumbent MP Tony Pasin still won comfortably.
Mr Pasin prevailed on first preference votes, receiving 53.3pc, and claimed 65.2pc of the TCP count over Labor's Mark Braes.
The -4.6pc first preference swing away from Mr Pasin, and a slight drop in the Labor vote, could be attributed to the inclusion of a One Nation candidate in Barker this year.
One Nation's Carlos Quaremba received 6.4pc of first preferences, while the Greens vote also rose slightly.
First preferences for the Nationals and UAP both declined.
Mr Pasin said he was "greatly humbled" to have been elected for a fourth term in Barker.
He believed the Coalition had left Australia in a strong economic position and said they would enter opposition ready to keep the new Labor government to account.
"I have always put the people of Barker first and have gone to Canberra with Barker's best interests at the heart of my work," he said.
"I believe that this was reflected in this weekend's result in Barker.
"I thank all those who have put their faith in me at the ballot box and have given me the opportunity to continue to deliver for our community."
Incumbent Rebekha Sharkie strengthened her grip on the seat of Mayo, which covers the Adelaide Hills, Fleurieu Peninsula and Kangaroo Island.
It will be Ms Sharkie's third term after capturing the seat from the Liberals in 2016. She has now won four consecutive votes, which include a 2018 by-election during the parliamentary eligibility crisis.
Ms Sharkie, of Centre Alliance, prevailed 62.6pc to 37.4pc on a TCP basis over Liberal candidate Allison Bluck.
Ms Sharkie enjoyed a 4.8pc rise in first preference votes (32.5pc), ahead of Ms Bluck (26.4pc) and Labor's Marissa Bell (17.3pc).
In a statement, Ms Sharkie said she was grateful for her community's support and looked forward to working with the new government to deliver for Mayo during her third term.
She has already spoken with new Prime Minister Mr Albanese.
"On Sunday, I enjoyed speaking with the new Prime Minister about our shared goal of a stable, respectful Parliament," Ms Sharkie said.
"We also discussed how this Parliament must address urgent policy issues, especially in respect to climate change, federal integrity commission, aged care, and affordable housing.
"I am also excited to welcome at least seven new independent MPs to the (much larger) crossbench. While I do not know all of them personally, I have no doubt these impressive women will make an enormous contribution in helping shape our country for the better."
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