THE Bureau of Meteorology has confirmed what many in agricultural regions in Australia would have suspected - that 2019 was the hottest and driest year across Australia as a whole since official records began.
In handing down its Annual Climate Statement, the BoM said Australia's average mean temperature in 2019 was 1.52 degrees Celsius above average, making it the warmest on record since consistent national temperature records began in 1910 and surpassing the previous record in 2013 of 1.33°C above average.
Meanwhile the national average rainfall total in 2019 was 277 millimetres, the lowest since consistent national records began in 1900.
The previous record low was 314mm set during the Federation drought in 1902.
SA experiences driest year
In SA, 2019 was the driest and second-warmest year on record for the state as a whole, with the mean temperature 1.45°C above average.
The state's average rainfall total was just 80mm, making it the first year on record that SA has had less than 100mm of rain, with the previous lowest being 111.4mm in 1944.
Many parts of outback SA had less than 30mm for the year, with Marree only receiving 12.6mm in the past 12 months.
Mean maximum temperatures in SA were above average for every month of the year, including the highest on record for January and December, third-highest October, fifth-highest July, and sixth-highest April and September.
The state as a whole had its hottest day on record on December 19, when it reached 47.1°C, exceeding the previous record of 45.7°C on January 24.
Aust swelters through summer
Bureau of Meteorology head of climate monitoring Karl Braganza said 2019 was consistently warm, interspersed with periods of extreme heat.
"January last year was the warmest month Australia has ever recorded, while just a few weeks ago in December, we saw the Australia-wide record hottest daily average maximum temperature broken multiple days in a row," Dr Braganza said.
He said the heat, combined with the marked rainfall deficiencies, had combined to exacerbate the impact of drought and also fire.
Various drivers were behind the annus horribilis, including the much-publicised Indian Ocean Dipole positive event.
Australia's climate has warmed by more than a degree since 1910, which means very warm years like 2019 are now more likely to occur.
- KARL BRAGANZA
However, Dr Braganza said there were other factors at play.
"We also saw the influence of a rare Sudden Stratospheric Warming event high above the south pole, which acted to push our weather systems northward and compound the warmer and drier than average conditions over southern Qld and NSW during spring, amplifying the fire weather."
He also said climate change was playing a part.
"The other key factor at play is that Australia's climate has warmed by more than a degree since 1910, which means very warm years like 2019 are now more likely to occur, while the trend in recent decades has been for drier winter and spring seasons in the south," he said.
However, there have been some tentative causes for optimism over the past month.
In recent weeks, some of the key drivers of the recent warm and dry patterns over Australia, such as the IOD positive, have eased.
As a result, Dr Braganza said rainfall for the coming months is expected to be average to below average in the east, while wetter than average conditions are possible over much of WA and SA.
"Unfortunately the outlook is not indicating a widespread return to wetter than average conditions over drought and fire-affected parts of eastern Australia," he said.
"But with the likely return of the monsoon by mid-January for northern Australia, it's raises the chances that we could see some periods of higher rainfall move south in the coming months."
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